Saturday, August 24, 2013

The World This Week - 24 AUG

Mubarak Released From Prison:

In an unexpected development, the Egyptian High Court released deposed strongman Hosni Mubarak from prison after being sentenced by the short-lived Morsi regime last year.  Undoubtedly, this move was primarily motivated by the Egyptian interim government's desperation to restore order after the military swiftly removed Morsi from power and ruthlessly crushed his Muslim Brotherhood supporters.  Mubarak is the natural choice for a return to stability - he unilaterally ruled his country since the assassination of Anwar Sadat and still commands enormous respect in both the military leadership and in the Egyptian populace as a whole.  However, should he return to power, there will most likely be a noticeable change in his relationship with the US - a country that once was his strongest supporter, but recently betrayed him in favor of the now-disastrous "Arab Spring."  It is highly unlikely that he will forget this betrayal and the US will undoubtedly reap a sour reward for our treatment of this former ally.

*BREAKING* US Warships Bound For Syria:

Although the details are scant about the nature of this naval mission, there is no doubt the US is seriously considering a significant escalation of force in the Syrian crisis.  So far, the only available information suggests that the ships en route to the eastern Mediterranean are armed with ballistic missile capabilities, hinting to long range missile attacks should hostilities commence - similar to the support we delivered to the Libyan rebels in 2011.  This is most likely meant to increase pressure on the Assad regime to allow UN weapons inspectors into regions suspected of being targeted in chemical attacks - events that seem to be the subject of intense controversy as to who actually committed the crimes and are often covered by confusing and contradictory news reports.  Moscow, possibly in an attempt to save their ally in the Levant, recently called for Assad to cooperate with the UN inspectors.  However, there has yet to be a clear response from the Syrian government on this issue.  Sadly, the entire event seems to be following the exact same playbook as every other US intervention in the Middle East and I fear it is only a matter of time before yet another once-stable Arab regime descends into chaos courtesy of Washington.

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